دوره 11، شماره 3 - ( 5-1405 )
جلد 11 شماره 3 صفحات 339-337 |
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Genelza G. The Fragility of Interdependence: A Perspective on Geopolitical Risk and the 2026 Iran War Oil Shock. J Nutr Food Secur. 2026; 11 (3) :337-339
URL: http://jnfs.ssu.ac.ir/article-1-1626-fa.html
URL: http://jnfs.ssu.ac.ir/article-1-1626-fa.html
The Fragility of Interdependence: A Perspective on Geopolitical Risk and the 2026 Iran War Oil Shock. Journal of Nutrition and Food Security. 1405; 11 (3) :337-339
The Fragility of Interdependence: A Perspective on Geopolitical Risk and the 2026 Iran War Oil Shock
چکیده: (1839 مشاهده)
The 2026 Iran War oil shock stands for a tectonic shift in the global energy paradigm, transcending traditional supply demand fluctuations to expose the visceral vulnerabilities of a hyper-interconnected global economy. Following the outbreak of hostilities in late February 2026 and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz on March 4, the global market witnessed a supply loss of approximately 12 million barrels per day, or nearly 11.5 percent of global demand. This article provides a critical perspective on the confluence of maritime insecurity, the failure of strategic reserves to dampen volatility, and the "weaponization" of energy transit. By analyzing the unique characteristics of this crisis - specifically its simultaneous impact on crude oil, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and refined fuels - the authors argue that the 2026 shock necessitates a fundamental decoupling of energy security from geographic chokepoints. Furthermore, this perspective evaluates the asymmetrical impact on the Global South and the accelerated, albeit chaotic, pivot toward decentralized energy systems.
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